3

Frisky Whiskey

5yo Mare · 11-12 · OR 98

Hexham · Heath RUFC A-Safe Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 63y

#4

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Steadily progressive 5-y-o. Chased home a subsequent winner when third on qualifying run at Cartmel. Went one place better behind another next-time-out winner over longer trip on handicap debut there (25f) latest. Relatively unexposed and leading claims to get off the mark with Brian Hughes booked.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength36%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 11/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m7f182y Gd 15611/0554 @ Market Rasen 28/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 2m2f140y Gd 151 · HIGHER CLASS28/0544 @ Hexham 21/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 2m4f28y Gd 151 · HIGHER CLASS21/0644 @ Cartmel 18/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 2m6f31y Gd 147 · HIGHER CLASS18/0745 @ Cartmel 29/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 95 · 3m1f83y Goo 163 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 95 par29/085OR 95projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Cartmel52nd2nd0
2026-07-18Cartmel43rd2nd+1
2026-06-21Hexham44th3rd+1
2026-05-28Market Rasen46th5th+1
2026-05-11Southwell56th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0528/0521/0618/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength100%

Delivery trend -2.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/05/20266th33/10%44%+0.44
28/05/20266th28/10%29%+0.29
21/06/20264th22/10%67%+0.67
18/07/20263rd20/10%60%+0.60
29/08/20262nd9/276%91%+0.15