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4

Killybegs Jet Lady

9yo Mare · 11-1 · OR 87

Hexham · Heath RUFC A-Safe Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 63y

#3

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Irish point winner who has proved a better chaser, getting off the mark under Rules in small-field chase at Kelso (good) in May. Disappointed both starts since, looking none too keen on return to hurdling at Cartmel last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 31/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 87 · 2m7f149y Goo 154 · beat its mark31/03/2025 · OR 87 par31/035OR 875 @ Hexham 03/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 90 · 2m7f63y Goo 153 · beat its mark03/05/2025 · OR 90 par5 @ Bangor-on-Dee 06/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 92 · 2m7f32y Gd 164 · beat its mark06/06/2025 · OR 92 par6/065OR 925 @ Cartmel 27/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 91 · 2m6f31y Sft 159 · beat its mark27/06/2025 · OR 91 par5 @ Uttoxeter 16/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 91 · 2m7f70y Gd 159 · below its mark16/07/2025 · OR 91 par16/075OR 915 @ Hexham 27/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 90 · 3m41y Goo 158 · beat its mark27/08/2025 · OR 90 par5 @ Hexham 02/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 90 · 3m41y Gd 158 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 90 par2/055OR 905 @ Kelso 24/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 90 · 2m7f96y Gd 159 · beat its mark24/05/2026 · OR 90 par5 @ Cartmel 29/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 91 · 3m1f83y Goo 159 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 91 par29/085OR 91projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Cartmel511th11th0
2026-06-13Hexham50
2026-05-24Kelso51st1st0
2026-05-02Hexham52nd2nd0
2026-03-25Hexham50
2025-10-03Hexham50

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0327/062/0529/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength51%

Delivery trend +0.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/03/20252nd7/282%75%-0.07
03/05/20252nd11/271%88%+0.16
06/06/20253rd9/153%83%+0.31
27/06/20253rd4/179%80%+0.01
16/07/20255th5/174%73%-0.00
27/08/20252nd2/189%83%-0.06
02/05/20262nd17/255%92%+0.36
24/05/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
29/08/202611th20/10%9%+0.09