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5

Robert d'Ores

9yo Gelding · 10-13 · OR 85

Hexham · Heath RUFC A-Safe Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 63y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hold-up type whose 3 career wins have come over C&D, including off 5 lb higher mark in this corresponding event last year. Continued out of sorts when down the field (following a second career breathing operation) here in June. Clearly well treated if back on song, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength46%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Hexham 03/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 87 · 2m7f63y Goo 154 · beat its mark03/05/2025 · OR 87 par3/055OR 875 @ Hexham 20/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 90 · 3m41y Gd 165 · below its mark20/05/2025 · OR 90 par4 @ Hexham 14/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 90 · 2m7f63y Goo 144 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/06/2025 · OR 90 par14/064OR 905 @ Hexham 03/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 90 · 2m7f63y GS 159 · beat its mark03/10/2025 · OR 90 par5 @ Hexham 07/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 94 · 2m7f63y Goo 161 · below its mark07/11/2025 · OR 94 par7/115OR 944 @ Carlisle 04/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 93 · 3m1f Goo 142 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/04/2026 · OR 93 par4 @ Bangor-on-Dee 18/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 92 · 2m7f32y Gd 145 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 92 par18/044OR 925 @ Hexham 02/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 90 · 2m7f63y Gd 153 · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 90 par4 @ Hexham 06/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 88 · 2m7f63y Gd 143 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 88 par6/064OR 88projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-06Hexham46th5th+1
2026-05-02Hexham57th7th0
2026-04-18Bangor-on-Dee46th5th+1
2026-04-04Carlisle46th5th+1
2025-11-07Hexham54th4th0
2025-10-03Hexham51st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/053/1018/046/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength29%

Delivery trend -8.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/05/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
20/05/20254th14/126%57%+0.31
14/06/20252nd7/163%75%+0.12
03/10/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
07/11/20254th13/266%67%+0.01
04/04/20266th50/10%44%+0.44
18/04/20266th25/10%38%+0.38
02/05/20267th11/142%57%+0.15
06/06/20266th13/266%0%-0.66