6

Blazing Court

8yo Gelding · 10-8 · OR 78

Hexham · Davey Liddle Belated Birthday Handicap Chase · 2m 4f 15y

#5

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winning chaser who belatedly proved he retains some ability on the back of a 2-day turnaround when beaten just a neck in 21f handicap at Cartmel in July. Well beaten back there the following month, however.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Carlisle 23/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 96 · 2m1f Goo 159 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/03/2025 · OR 96 par23/034OR 964 @ Kelso 07/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 96 · 2m4f189y Goo 155 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/05/2025 · OR 96 par4 @ Perth 08/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 96 · 2m4f35y Gd 155 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/06/2025 · OR 96 par8/064OR 964 @ Hexham 22/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 95 · 2m4f15y Gd 158 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/06/2025 · OR 95 par5 @ Carlisle 16/10/2025 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR 93 · 2m3f218y Gd 156 · below its mark16/10/2025 · OR 93 par16/105OR 935 @ Catterick 16/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 90 · 1m7f145y Goo 155 · below its mark16/12/2025 · OR 90 par5 @ Cartmel 18/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 78 · 2m1f61y Gd 151 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 78 par18/075OR 785 @ Cartmel 20/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 78 · 2m5f34y Gd 146 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 78 par5 @ Cartmel 29/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 79 · 2m5f34y Goo 152 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 79 par29/085OR 79projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Cartmel510th10th0
2026-07-20Cartmel52nd2nd0
2026-07-18Cartmel57th7th0
2026-06-28Cartmel50
2026-05-23Cartmel50
2026-04-04Carlisle50

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0322/0618/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength52%

Delivery trend +4.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/03/20253rd5/174%60%-0.14
07/05/20253rd10/382%60%-0.22
08/06/20255th25/10%43%+0.43
22/06/20254th20/10%50%+0.50
16/10/202515th25/10%0%0.00
16/12/20255th10/147%0%-0.47
18/07/20267th33/10%14%+0.14
20/07/20262nd40/10%88%+0.88
29/08/202610th22/10%10%+0.10