
Epic Prankster
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 90
Keeneland · Race 1 - Starter Allowance · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-02-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-01-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-11-16 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/11/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 16/01/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |
| 14/02/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 78% | -0.06 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 1/3 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |