9

Epic Prankster

3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 90

Keeneland · Race 1 - Starter Allowance · 7f

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 16/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 5f110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS16/11C6C6 @ Gulfstream 16/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 80 · 5f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/01/2026 · OR 80 par16/01C6OR 80C6 @ Gulfstream 14/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 73 · 5f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 73 par14/02C6OR 73C9 @ Turfway Park 20/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 76 · 6f110y Fas 120 · below its mark20/03/2026 · OR 76 par20/03C9OR 76C6 @ Fairmount Park 25/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 81 · 5f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 81 par25/04C6OR 81projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-25Fairmount Park?1st0th+1
2026-03-20Turfway Park?3rd5th−2
2026-02-14Gulfstream?10th9th+1
2026-01-16Gulfstream?5th4th+1
2025-11-16Churchill Downs?4th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1116/0114/0220/0325/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength37%

Delivery trend +1.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/11/20254th7/163%63%-0.01
16/01/20265th7/163%43%-0.20
14/02/202610th20/10%0%0.00
20/03/20263rd3/184%78%-0.06
25/04/20261st1/398%100%+0.02