Modern Sound
5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 93
Keeneland · Race 1 - Starter Allowance · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
59%
Place Prob
33%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-21 | Ellis Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Ellis Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Turfway Park | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-12-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 90% | +0.06 |
| 03/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 82% | +0.13 |
| 07/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 27/12/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 64% | -0.13 |
| 15/02/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 13% | -0.59 |
| 26/03/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 26/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 16/09/2026 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 89% | -0.07 |