Our Shenanigan
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 88
Keeneland · Race 1 - Starter Allowance · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-09-06 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-08-08 | Ellis Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 71% | -0.20 |
| 14/02/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 26/03/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 30/04/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 25/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 17/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 06/09/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 18/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |