8
Queen Of Queens
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 83
Keeneland · Race 1 - Starter Allowance · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
15%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-10-10 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-09-17 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength85%
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 10/10/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 13/11/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 30/11/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/12/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 06/09/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 64% | -0.18 |