2

Highly Connected

3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 102

Keeneland · Race 10 - Allowance · 1m 1f 110y

#12

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Oaklawn Park 27/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 65 · 6f 120 · beat its mark27/12/2025 · OR 65 par27/12C9OR 65C7 @ Oaklawn Park 07/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 71 · 1m110y 119 · below its mark07/02/2026 · OR 71 parC7 @ Oaklawn Park 26/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 81 · 1m110y 116 · below its mark26/02/2026 · OR 81 par26/02C7OR 81C7 @ Oaklawn Park 26/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 81 · 1m 121 · below its mark26/03/2026 · OR 81 parC5 @ Oaklawn Park 18/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 86 · 1m1f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 86 par18/04C5OR 86C7 @ Churchill Downs 23/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 83 · 1m Gd 120 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 83 parC6 @ Ellis Park 04/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 84 · 1m110y Fm 120 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 84 par4/07C6OR 84C5 @ Ellis Park 24/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 91 · 1m110y Fm 120 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 91 parC5 @ Kentucky Downs 06/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 101 · 1m4f 118 · below its mark06/09/2026 · OR 101 par6/09C5OR 101projClass-projected finish: 7th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Kentucky Downs?5th5th0
2026-07-24Ellis Park?2nd2nd0
2026-07-04Ellis Park?4th5th−1
2026-05-23Churchill Downs?4th6th−2
2026-04-18Oaklawn Park?5th4th+1
2026-03-26Oaklawn Park?2nd4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/1226/034/076/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength68%

Delivery trend +4.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/12/20251st15/261%100%+0.39
07/02/20263rd12/137%60%+0.23
26/02/20266th7/163%38%-0.26
26/03/20262nd4/179%83%+0.04
18/04/20265th20/10%43%+0.43
23/05/20264th7/282%50%-0.32
04/07/20264th50/10%63%+0.63
24/07/20262nd14/126%86%+0.59
06/09/20265th16/116%60%+0.44