Kravitz
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 98
Keeneland · Race 10 - Allowance · 1m 1f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
24%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2026-08-08 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Keeneland | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 11/10/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 15/02/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 01/03/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 08/08/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 07/09/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |