9
Lazlo
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 102
Keeneland · Race 10 - Allowance · 1m 1f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Ellis Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Keeneland | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | -1th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength58%
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 20/09/2025 | 5th | 11/10 | 94% | 33% | -0.61 |
| 05/10/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 08/11/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 29/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 22/04/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 24/05/2026 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 17/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 09/09/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |