Ramblin
3yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 97
Keeneland · Race 10 - Allowance · 1m 1f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Ellis Park | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-06-20 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
| 2026-04-25 | Churchill Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Keeneland | ? | 8th | 3rd | +4 |
| 2026-02-28 | Fair Grounds | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-02-12 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |
| 20/12/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 16/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 89% | -0.06 |
| 12/02/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 28/02/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 11/04/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 25/04/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/06/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 36% | +0.21 |
| 23/08/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |