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13

Shure

4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 99

Keeneland · Race 10 - Allowance · 1m 1f 110y

#14

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Turfway Park 07/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 58 · 6f110y 125 · beat its mark07/02/2026 · OR 58 par7/02C9OR 58C8 @ Turfway Park 20/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 73 · 6f110y 124 · beat its mark20/02/2026 · OR 73 parC6 @ Turfway Park 06/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 82 · 6f Fas 126 · below its mark06/03/2026 · OR 82 par6/03C6OR 82C7 @ Turfway Park 28/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 95 · 1m 120 · below its mark28/03/2026 · OR 95 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 99 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 99 par13/05C5OR 99C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 98 · 1m110y Fm 122 · below its mark14/07/2026 · OR 98 parC7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 98 · 1m Gd 122 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 98 par22/08C7OR 98C7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 98 · 1m110y Fm 122 · below its mark10/09/2026 · OR 98 par10/09C7OR 98projClass-projected finish: 10th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd4th−2
2026-08-22Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th6th−2
2026-07-14Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2026-05-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2026-03-28Turfway Park?2nd4th−2
2026-03-06Turfway Park?4th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0228/0322/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 10-14 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength8%

Delivery trend -4.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/02/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
20/02/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
06/03/20264th9/153%50%-0.03
28/03/20262nd3/184%86%+0.02
13/05/20266th8/158%44%-0.13
14/07/20265th10/147%43%-0.05
22/08/20264th7/282%67%-0.15
10/09/20262nd11/271%88%+0.16