5
Timestream
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 84
Keeneland · Race 10 - Allowance · 1m 1f 110y
#11
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-05-31 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
| 2025-10-19 | Keeneland | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 13-14 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 19/10/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 13/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |