Jus Too Fly
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 86
Keeneland · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Ellis Park | ? | 10th | 7th | +3 |
| 2026-04-08 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 44% | -0.40 |
| 21/12/2025 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 30% | -0.46 |
| 05/01/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 56% | +0.03 |
| 05/02/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 21/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 06/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 28/03/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 08/04/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 17/07/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |