Professor Higgins
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 91
Keeneland · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Ellis Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Ellis Park | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Hawthorne | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +11.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2025 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 17/08/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 04/09/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 21/09/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 21/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 11/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 06/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 21/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |