2

Raising Kane
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 81
Keeneland · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Ellis Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength58%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 31/01/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 07/03/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 29/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 14/05/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 31/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 08/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 11/09/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |