9

Stolen Power

3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 93

Keeneland · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength64%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: +1.6
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turfway Park 06/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 65 · 1m Fas 118 · below its mark06/03/2026 · OR 65 par6/03C8OR 65C8 @ Turfway Park 18/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 77 · 1m 118 · below its mark18/03/2026 · OR 77 parC8 @ Keeneland 24/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 85 · 6f110y 118 · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 85 par24/04C8OR 85C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 20/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR 82 · 1m 118 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 82 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 80 · 1m 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 80 par15/06C5OR 80C7 @ Ellis Park 12/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 83 · 1m 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 83 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 87 · 1m Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/07/2026 · OR 87 par30/07C5OR 87C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 31/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 88 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 88 parC7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 95 · 1m110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/09/2026 · OR 95 par10/09C7OR 95projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th4th+1
2026-08-31Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th1st+3
2026-07-30Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th3rd+3
2026-07-12Ellis Park?5th4th+1
2026-06-15Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd0th+3
2026-05-20Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0320/0530/0710/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength47%

Delivery trend -3.8% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/03/20262nd9/153%86%+0.33
18/03/20263rd10/147%80%+0.33
24/04/20265th10/147%33%-0.14
20/05/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
15/06/20263rd7/163%60%-0.03
12/07/20265th14/126%43%+0.17
30/07/20266th20/10%29%+0.29
31/08/20264th9/276%50%-0.26
10/09/20265th9/153%50%-0.03