7

Virabhadrasana

2yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 82

Keeneland · Race 3 - Allowance · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

1/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 01/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 6f Fas 1231/08C6C6 @ Saratoga 29/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 79 · 6f Fas 123 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 79 par29/08C6OR 79projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Saratoga?1st2nd−1
2026-08-01Saratoga?4th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0829/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +33.3% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/08/20264th15/261%67%+0.06
29/08/20261st15/261%100%+0.39