Washton
2yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 75
Keeneland · Race 3 - Allowance · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +9.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 02/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 30/08/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |