4
Shewontbudge
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 87
Keeneland · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-05-24 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-04-17 | Keeneland | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-03-22 | Fair Grounds | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +15.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 63% | -0.24 |
| 17/04/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 24/05/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 12/09/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |