12
Laigina
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 95
Keeneland · Race 5 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength74%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.9
Today:
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | -1th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength55%
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 03/01/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 07/02/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 07/03/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 70% | +0.04 |
| 28/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 78% | -0.10 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 86% | -0.06 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 83% | -0.11 |
| 07/09/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |