6
Rocket Rania
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 88
Keeneland · Race 5 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#12
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-11-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 2-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength20%
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 03/11/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 20/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 15/08/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 03/09/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |