9
Triskelion
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 95
Keeneland · Race 5 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-11 | Keeneland | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-09-06 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength29%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 78% | +0.17 |
| 06/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 89% | -0.02 |
| 11/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |
| 09/11/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 12/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 15/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |