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2yo Colt · 8-7 · OR 85

Keeneland · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Ellis Park 26/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 6f Fas 11926/07C6C6 @ Kentucky Downs 05/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 76 · 7f 119 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 76 par5/09C6OR 76projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Kentucky Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-07-26Ellis Park?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 5-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength60%

Delivery trend +17.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/07/20265th10/382%50%-0.32
05/09/20263rd5/287%71%-0.15