C K Wonder
4yo Colt · 8-9 · OR 98
Keeneland · Race 7 - Stoll Keenon Ogden Phoenix Stakes - Grade 2 · 6f
#11
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.1 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-06-27 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 12th | −5 |
| 2026-06-06 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 8th | −5 |
| 2026-04-04 | Keeneland | ? | 10th | 16th | −5 |
| 2026-02-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2025-05-25 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 10th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2024 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 09/03/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 24/04/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 25/05/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 07/02/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 04/04/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |