11

Here Mi Song

8yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 110

Keeneland · Race 7 - Stoll Keenon Ogden Phoenix Stakes - Grade 2 · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲4
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: -3.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Keeneland 08/04/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 115 · 7f Fas 118 · below its mark08/04/2025 · OR 115 par8/04C1OR 115C0 @ Churchill Downs 03/05/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 104 · 7f Slo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/05/2025 · OR 104 parC1 @ Churchill Downs 31/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 106 · 6f Fas 118 · below its mark31/05/2025 · OR 106 par31/05C1OR 106C5 @ Ellis Park 20/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 101 · 6f110y 122 · below its mark20/07/2025 · OR 101 parC6 @ Ellis Park 09/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 105 · 6f Fas 121 · beat its mark09/08/2025 · OR 105 par9/08C6OR 105C5 @ Churchill Downs 13/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 110 · 6f 121 · below its mark13/09/2025 · OR 110 parC0 @ Keeneland 03/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 113 · 6f 121 · below its mark03/10/2025 · OR 113 par3/10C?OR 113C5 @ Ellis Park 18/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 112 · 6f110y Fas 122 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 112 parC6 @ Ellis Park 17/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 108 · 6f110y Slo 121 · below its mark17/08/2026 · OR 108 par17/08C6OR 108projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-17Ellis Park?4th10th−5
2026-07-18Ellis Park?3rd8th−4
2025-10-03Keeneland?4th4th0
2025-09-13Churchill Downs?2nd7th−4
2025-08-09Ellis Park?1st7th−5
2025-07-20Ellis Park?3rd8th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0420/073/1017/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength24%

Delivery trend -0.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/04/202510th16/116%10%-0.06
03/05/202511th50/10%0%0.00
31/05/20255th33/10%20%+0.20
20/07/20253rd8/158%71%+0.14
09/08/20251st10/1195%100%+0.05
13/09/20252nd14/126%86%+0.59
03/10/20254th9/153%40%-0.13
18/07/20263rd6/168%75%+0.07
17/08/20264th6/168%50%-0.18