6
Viking
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 105
Keeneland · Race 7 - Stoll Keenon Ogden Phoenix Stakes - Grade 2 · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲5
Strength7%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: -4.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-03-28 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 14th | −5 |
| 2026-02-16 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 8th | −5 |
| 2025-12-13 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 11th | −5 |
| 2025-11-01 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 10th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength56%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 14/07/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 07/10/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 01/11/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 13/12/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 64% | -0.02 |
| 16/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 28/03/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 13% | -0.66 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 01/08/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |