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6

Glycogen

2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 82

Keeneland · Race 8 - Jessamine S. Presented By Keeneland Sales - Grade 2 · 1m 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲5
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -5.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Ellis Park 10/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 5f110y Gd 11910/07C6C6 @ Ellis Park 31/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 80 · 1m110y Fm 119 · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 80 par31/07C6OR 80C5 @ Saratoga 04/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 77 · 1m110y 122 · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 77 par4/09C5OR 77projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Saratoga?1st6th−4
2026-07-31Ellis Park?1st8th−6
2026-07-10Ellis Park?4th11th−6

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0731/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +12.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/07/20264th11/271%73%+0.02
31/07/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
04/09/20261st5/174%100%+0.26