12
Mightily
2yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 90
Keeneland · Race 8 - Jessamine S. Presented By Keeneland Sales - Grade 2 · 1m 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 1.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -4.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2026-07-11 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength1%
Delivery trend -16.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |