1
Pros And Cons
2yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 86
Keeneland · Race 8 - Jessamine S. Presented By Keeneland Sales - Grade 2 · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: -4.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-07-10 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
| 2026-05-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -37.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 04/09/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |