5
Seneca Park
2yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 99
Keeneland · Race 8 - Jessamine S. Presented By Keeneland Sales - Grade 2 · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 1.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -4.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-08-07 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 3-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength80%
Delivery trend -7.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |