2
For The Money
2yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 81
Keeneland · Race 9 - Darley Alcibiades Stakes - Grade 1 · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
| 2026-08-02 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength23%
Delivery trend +22.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 71% | -0.21 |
| 20/08/2026 | 1st | 1/6 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |