7
High Speed Reed
2yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 79
Keeneland · Race 9 - Darley Alcibiades Stakes - Grade 1 · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -5.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
| 2026-08-09 | Ellis Park | ? | 3rd | 10th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 3-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength75%
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 13/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |