5
Celtic Prince
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 77
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength5%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 06/02/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 13/03/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 11/04/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 38% | -0.36 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 82% | +0.16 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 22/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 15/08/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 10/09/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |