King Covee
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 88
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
28%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-08-28 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-04-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 12th | 10th | +2 |
| 2025-11-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 10/09/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 04/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 91% | -0.02 |
| 24/10/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 27/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 18/04/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 03/09/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |