10
Lookin At Mac
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 83
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Colonial Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-03-21 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-02-14 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength30%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 02/01/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 73% | +0.02 |
| 14/02/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 55% | -0.22 |
| 21/03/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 04/04/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 40% | -0.50 |
| 28/08/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |