Phil's Prince
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 90
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-10-25 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-10-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2025-08-23 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 23/08/2025 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 03/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 25/10/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 16/11/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 02/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 03/09/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |