3

Walking In Memphis

4yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 97

Laurel Park · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 15/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 92 · 5f110y 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/11/2025 · OR 92 par15/11C6OR 92C6 @ Gulfstream 03/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 93 · 1m110y Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/01/2026 · OR 93 parC8 @ Gulfstream 19/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 91 · 1m Slo 123 · beat its mark19/03/2026 · OR 91 par19/03C8OR 91C8 @ Gulfstream 16/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 94 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark16/04/2026 · OR 94 parC8 @ Gulfstream 15/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 93 · 1m110y Gd 124 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 93 par15/05C8OR 93C6 @ Gulfstream 28/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 89 · 5f 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 89 parC6 @ Gulfstream 20/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 84 · 1m Fm 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/07/2026 · OR 84 par20/07C6OR 84C6 @ Gulfstream 24/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 87 · 5f Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/08/2026 · OR 87 parC7 @ Laurel Park 13/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 88 · 1m 126 · below its mark13/09/2026 · OR 88 par13/09C7OR 88projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Laurel Park?3rd3rd0
2026-08-24Gulfstream?5th4th+1
2026-07-20Gulfstream?5th4th+1
2026-06-28Gulfstream?5th4th+1
2026-05-15Gulfstream?8th9th−1
2026-04-16Gulfstream?3rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/1116/0420/0713/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength80%

Delivery trend +4.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/11/20254th8/158%63%+0.05
03/01/202610th6/168%0%-0.68
19/03/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
16/04/20263rd11/486%50%-0.36
15/05/20268th10/147%22%-0.25
28/06/20265th16/116%20%+0.04
20/07/20265th14/126%50%+0.24
24/08/20265th9/153%43%-0.10
13/09/20263rd8/158%67%+0.09