1
Addy's Laddy T N T
7yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 88
Laurel Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
92%
Place Prob
74%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength28%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 07/06/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 05/07/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 10/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 26/06/2026 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 30/07/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 18% | -0.34 |
| 07/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 13/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |