Heldish
6yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 82
Laurel Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 05/02/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 27/02/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |
| 29/03/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 09/05/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 27/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 18/09/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |