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3

Super Accelerate

6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 89

Laurel Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength53%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Laurel Park 28/10/2023 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 90 · 1m Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/10/2023 · OR 90 par28/10C5OR 90C5 @ Laurel Park 24/11/2023 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 86 · 7f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/11/2023 · OR 86 parC5 @ Laurel Park 08/09/2024 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 91 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/09/2024 · OR 91 par8/09C5OR 91C5 @ Laurel Park 10/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 95 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/10/2025 · OR 95 parC5 @ Laurel Park 27/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 80 · 1m1f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/12/2025 · OR 80 par27/12C5OR 80C5 @ Laurel Park 16/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 79 · 5f110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/01/2026 · OR 79 parC5 @ Laurel Park 06/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 87 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/02/2026 · OR 87 par6/02C5OR 87C7 @ Laurel Park 27/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 83 · 7f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/02/2026 · OR 83 parC8 @ Laurel Park 11/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 83 · 6f 123 · below its mark11/04/2026 · OR 83 par11/04C8OR 83projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-11Laurel Park?6th6th0
2026-02-27Laurel Park?4th3rd+1
2026-02-06Laurel Park?6th3rd+3
2026-01-16Laurel Park?6th3rd+3
2025-12-27Laurel Park?4th1st+3
2025-10-10Laurel Park?8th5th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/1010/106/0211/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength72%

Delivery trend +0.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/10/20232nd2/189%86%-0.04
24/11/20233rd11/271%75%+0.04
08/09/20242nd10/382%80%-0.02
10/10/20258th13/266%0%-0.66
27/12/20254th14/126%40%+0.14
16/01/20266th16/116%29%+0.13
06/02/20266th16/116%17%+0.01
27/02/20264th14/126%40%+0.14
11/04/20266th14/126%0%-0.26