7

Guerrilla Magic
4yo Gelding · 8-10
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength39%
Delivery trend +16.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 15/05/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 14/06/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 13/09/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |