Sig
6yo Gelding · 9-0
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 6.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2024-09-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2024-08-27 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2024-07-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-06-02 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2024-05-18 | Pimlico | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2023 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 08/10/2023 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 56% | -0.21 |
| 04/02/2024 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 18/05/2024 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 14% | -0.44 |
| 02/06/2024 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 06/07/2024 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 27/08/2024 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 23/09/2024 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 11/10/2024 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |