6
Star Atlas
4yo Gelding · 8-10
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 07/03/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 26/04/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 27% | -0.33 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |
| 19/07/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 64% | -0.10 |
| 16/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 04/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 12/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |