9

Tax And Tags
3yo Gelding · 8-11
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength96%
Delivery trend +16.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 14% | -0.46 |
| 15/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 14/06/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 45% | -0.12 |