8
Flying To Work
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 67
Laurel Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Colonial Downs | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-07-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength74%
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 04/04/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 31/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 60% | -0.32 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 03/09/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/09/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |