10

Karma's Inthehouse

6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 78

Laurel Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

91%

Place Prob

61%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength40%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 24/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 75 · 5f110y Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/07/2025 · OR 75 par24/07C6OR 75C6 @ Colonial Downs 28/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 82 · 5f110y Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/08/2025 · OR 82 parC9 @ Laurel Park 04/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 77 · 5f110y Fas 126 · below its mark04/10/2025 · OR 77 par4/10C9OR 77C6 @ Laurel Park 18/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 70 · 6f Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/10/2025 · OR 70 parC6 @ Laurel Park 22/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 69 · 6f Slo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/11/2025 · OR 69 par22/11C6OR 69C6 @ Laurel Park 21/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 67 · 6f 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/02/2026 · OR 67 parC9 @ Laurel Park 23/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 5f110y 12623/05C9C8 @ Colonial Downs 18/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 66 · 5f Fm 122 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 66 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 28/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 68 · 5f 122 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 68 par28/08C8OR 68projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Colonial Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-07-18Colonial Downs?8th8th0
2026-05-23Laurel Park?1st2nd−1
2026-02-21Laurel Park?3rd1st+2
2025-11-22Laurel Park?5th3rd+2
2025-10-18Laurel Park?3rd1st+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0718/1023/0528/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength6%

Delivery trend -0.2% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/07/20253rd16/116%71%+0.56
28/08/20255th9/488%33%-0.55
04/10/20256th8/158%29%-0.29
18/10/20253rd20/10%60%+0.60
22/11/20255th20/10%43%+0.43
21/02/20263rd9/153%33%-0.19
23/05/20261st2/598%100%+0.02
18/07/20268th10/147%0%-0.47
28/08/20263rd16/116%67%+0.51