6
Military Grade
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 74
Laurel Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-07-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2024-09-29 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength74%
Delivery trend -7.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2024 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 26/07/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 16/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 78% | -0.10 |
| 19/09/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |