Tethered Soul
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 78
Laurel Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 28/11/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/02/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 07/03/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 26/04/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 06/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |